ГЕОЭКОЛОГИЯ


ИНЖЕНЕРНАЯ ГЕОЛОГИЯ. ГИДРОГЕОЛОГИЯ. ГЕОКРИОЛОГИЯ

Geoekologiya, 2020, Vol. 5, P. 62-77

CALIBRATION OF SEISMIC INTENSITY ATTENUATION MODEL BY THE EXAMPLE OF EARTHQUAKES IN ALBANIA 

N. I. Frolova1,*, I. P. Gabsatarova2,**, A. N. Ugarov3,***, N. S. Malaeva1 

1 Sergeev Institute of Environmental Geoscience, Russian Academy of Sciences, Ulanskii per., 13, bld. 2, Moscow, 101000 Russia
2 Geophysical Survey, Russian Academy of Sciences, pr. Lenina, 189, Obninsk, Kaluga region, 249035 Russia
3 Bauman Moscow State Technical University, 2-ya Baumanskaya ul., 5, Moscow, 105005 Russia
*E-mail: frolovanina7@gmail.com
**E-mail: ira@gsras.ru
***E-mail: garo@esrc.ru

The possibility of using the calibrated macroseismic field parameters of the analogue region in order to increase the accuracy of the near-real time assessment of the earthquakes consequences with application of the “Extremum” System has been investigated. For the region of Albania, which is a part of the Alpine-Himalayan seismic active zone, a set of parameters is used, obtained by calibrating the macroseismic field model in another region of this zone located in the Caucasus and having similar features of tectonic development. The obtained results showed the feasibility of using an approach based on the identification of analogue regions as the first iterative step to increase the reliability of near real time loss estimates. The efficiency of a multistep, iterative approach for macroseismic field models calibration is shown, which is carried out after any damaging and disastrous earthquake. The feasibility of the database with the description of seismic events usage in the proposed approach to calibrate macroseismic fields models of “Extremum” System was confirmed.

Key words: near real time loss estimates, damaging earthquake, macroseismic field, Alpine-Himalayan seismic active belt, “Extremum” System

REFERENCES

  1. Kondorskaya, N.V., Gorbunova, I.V., Kireev, I.A, Vandysheva, N.V. Unifitsirovannyi katalog zemletryasenii Severnoi Evrazii s drevneishikh vremen do 1995 g. [Unified earthquake catalogue of Northern Eurasia from ancient times till 1995]. Kondorskaya, N.V., Ulomov, V.I., Eds. System of data bases. JIPE RAS, 1996. Available at: http://www.scgis.ru (in Russian)
  2. Petrova N.V., Didenko V.I., Morozova A.D. Razrabotka bazy dannykh “Sil’nye i oshchutimye zemletryaseniya Rossii i sopredel’nykh stran” [Development of the data base “Strong and moderate earthquakes occurred in Russia and adjacent countries”]. Problemy kompleksnogo geofizicheskogo monitoringa Dal’nego Vostoka Rossii. Trudy Sed’moi nauchno-tekhnicheskoi konferentsii [Problems of complex geophysical monitoring of the Russian Far East. Proc. the 7th scientific and technical conference]. Chebrov, D.V., Ed.-in-Chief. Obninsk, GS RAS, 2019, pp. 191–196. Available at: http://www.emsd.ru/conf2019lib/mlib2.html (in Russian)
  3. Spetsializirovannyi katalog zemletryasenii dlya zadach obshchego seismicheskogo raionirovaniya territorii Rossiiskoi Federatsii [Specialized catalog of earthquakes for review seismic zoning of the Russian Federation territory]. Ulomov, V.I., Medvedeva, N.S., Eds. Available at: http://seismos-u.ifz.ru/documents/Eartquake-Catalog.pdf. (in Russian)
  4. Ulomov, V.I., Shumilina, L.S. Komplekt kart obshchego seismicheskogo raionirovaniya territorii Rossiiskoi Federatsii – OSR-97. Masshtab 1:8000000. Ob’yasnitel’naya zapiska i spisok gorodov i naselennykh punktov, raspolozhennykh v seismoopasnykh raionakh [Set of maps OSR-97-A, B, C of review seismic zoning of the Russian Federation territory – OSR-97. Scale 1:8 000 000. Explanatory note and list of cities and settlements located in earthquake prone areas]. Moscow, OIFZ Publ., 1999, 57 p. (in Russian)
  5. Frolova, N.I., Ugarov, A.N. Baza znanii o sil’nykh zemletryaseniyakh kak instrument povysheniya nadezhnosti operativnykh otsenok poter’ [Knowledge base about past earthquakes consequences as a tool to increase the reliability of near real time loss estimation]. Geoekologiya, 2018, no. 6, pp. 1–18. (in Russian)
  6. Frolova, N.I., Gabsatarova, I.P., Ugarov, A.N. Ispol’zovanie makroseismicheskikh dannykh dlya povysheniya nadezhnosti operativnykh otsenok poter’ na primere zemletrysenii RF i sopredel’nykh territorii [Macroseismic data application for increasing reliability of near real time loss estimations: example of earthquakes in Russia and adjacent areas]. GEORISK-2018. Mater. X Mezhdunar. nauchno-praktich. konferentsii po problemam snizheniya prirodnykh opasnostei i riskov [Proc. 10th Intern. scientific and practical conference on reducing natural hazards and risks GEORISK–2018]. Moscow, RUDN, 2018, vol. 1, pp. 218–226. (in Russian)
  7. Frolova, N.I., Gabsatarova, I.P., Petrova, N.V., Ugarov, A.N.., Malaeva, N.S. Vliyanie osobennostei zatukhaniya seismicheskoi intensivnosti na nadezhnost operativnykh otsenok poter’ ot zemletryasenii [Influence of shaking intensity attenuation peculiarities on reliability of earthquake loss estimation in emergency mode]. Geoekologiya, 2019, no. 5. pp. 23–37. (in Russian)
  8. Shebalin, N.V. Metody ispol’zovaniya inzhenerno-seismologicheskikh dannykh pri seismicheskom raionirovanii [Procedures of engineering seismological data application for seismic zoning]. Seismicheskoe raionirovanie SSSR [Seismic zoning of the USSR], Moscow, Nauka, 1968, pp. 95–121. (in Russian)
  9. Shebalin, N.V. Zemletryasenie v Bania Luke (Yugoslaviya) 26–27 oktyabrya 1969 g. i problemy operativnoi sluzhby sil’nykh zemletryasenii [The Banja Luka earthquakes (Yugoslavia) on October 26–27, 1969 and problems of strong earthquake operational service]. Geofizicheskii byulleten’, 1973, no. 2. pp. 279–294. (in Russian)
  10. Shebalin, N.V., Ershov, I.A., Shestoperov, G.S., et al. Uluchshennyi variant shkaly seismicheskoi intensivnosti (MMSK-86) na baze shkal MSK-64 i МSSSS-73 (zaklyuchitel’nyi otchet). [Improved version of seismic intensity scale (MMSK-86) based on scales MSK-64 and MSSSS-73. Final report]. Moscow, MSSSS-IFZ, 1986, 61 p. (in Russian)
  11. Khain, V.E. Tektonika kontinentov i okeanov [Tectonics of continents and oceans]. Мoscow, Nauchyi mir Publ., 2001, 606 p. (in Russian)
  12. Abolmasov, B., Jovanovski, M., Pavle Feri, P., and Snje`ana Mihali A. Losses due to historical earthquakes in the Balkan region: Overview of publicly available data. Geofizika, 2011, vol. 28, no. 1, pp. 161–181. Available at: http://geofizika-journal.gfz.hr/vol_28/No1/28_1_abolmasov_et_al.pdf
  13. Aliaj, S. The Albanian orogen: convergence zone between Eurasia and the Adria microplate. The Adria Microplate: GPS Geodesy, Tectonics and Hazards. Pinter N., Gyula G., Weber J., Stein S., Medak D., Eds., NATO Science, Series IV: Earth and Environmental Sciences, vol. 61, Springer, Dordrecht. 2006.
  14. Aliaj, S., Kociu, S., Muco, B., Sulstrava, E. Seismicity, seismotectonics and seismic hazard assessment in Albania. Tirane, Academy of Sciences of Albania, 2010. Available at: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/262219230
  15. Bickovski, V., Shebalin, N.V. On the attenuation of seismic intensity over the Balkan Region, 1973.
  16. Lekkas, E., Mavroulis, S., Papa, D., Carydis, P. The November 26, 2019 Mw 6.4 Durrës (Albania) earthquake. Newsletter of Environmental, Disaster and Crises Management Strategies, 2019, no. 15. Available at: https://edcm.edu.gr/images/docs/newsletters/Newsletter_15_2019_Albania_EQ.pdf
  17. Moshou, A., Dushi, E., Argyrak, P. A preliminary report on the 26 November 2019, Mw = 6.4 Durres, Albania. Preliminary Report at EMSCon December 17, 2019.
  18. Muco, B., Vaccari, F., Panza, G., Kuka, N. Seismic zonation in Albania using a deterministic approach. Tectonophysics, 2002, no. 344, pp. 277–288.
  19. Papazachos, C., Papaioannou, Ch. The macroseismic field of the Balkan area. Journal of Seismology, 1997, no. 1, pp. 181–201.
  20. Savvaidis, A., Papazachos, C., Papaioannou, Ch., Kiratzi, A.A. Atlas of isoseismal maps for shallow earthquakes in Albania and the surrounding area (1851–1990). Research November 2015, available at: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/284717431
  21. Shebalin, N.V., Karnik, V., Had`ievski, D. (Eds.) Catalogue of earthquakes. Part I, 1901–1970, Part II, prior to 1901, Part III, Atlas of isoseismal maps. UNDP/UNESCO Survey of the seismicity of the Balkan region, Skopje. 1974.
  22. Shebalin N.V., Leydecker, G., Mokrushina, N.G., Tatevossian, R.E., Erteleva, O.O., Vassiliev, V.Yu. Earthquake catalogue for Central and Southeastern Europe 342 BC – 1990 AD. Final Report to Contract ETNU – CT93-0087. 1998.
  23. Storchak, D.A., Giacomo, D. Di, Bondar, I., Harris, J., Engdahl, E.R., Lee, W.H.K., Villasenor, A., Bormann, P., Ferrari, G. ISC-GEM Global Instrumental Earthquake Catalogue (1900-2009). GEM Technical Report. 2012, vol. 1.0.0. 128 p.
  24. Sulstarova, E., Kociaj, S., Muco, B., Peci, V. The Albanian earthquakes catalogue for historical and instrumental data with magnitude Ms4.5. Internal Report (behalf on NATO Project “Seismotectonic and Seismic Hazard Assessment in Albania”, 1999–2002), Seismological Institute, Tirana, Albania, 2003.
  25. Sulstarova, E. Earthquake hazard assessment in Albania. Risk, Nature and Society, 1996, pp. 199–216, available at: https://books.openedition.org/psorbonne/32094.